akashic
1876–2024
Morris County, New Jersey
Morris County·New Jersey

Morris County votes the way the country votes.

Once a GOP stronghold, now a certified swing county

18762024·38 elections
Morris County, New Jersey · Jared Kofsky · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
514,528
2024 ACS
Most similar
Seminole County
FL · similarity 0.98
394 precincts · 286,066 votes cast
Trump · R+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−2.7%
135,672143,439286,066
2020D
+4.3%
153,881141,134297,451
2016R
−4.3%
115,249126,071253,537
2012R
−10.8%
100,563125,279228,647
2008R
−8.1%
112,275132,331246,916
2004R
−15.8%
98,066135,241235,154
2000R
−11.2%
88,039111,066206,508
1996R
−7.5%
81,09295,830195,745
1992R
−19.5%
67,593108,431209,232
1988R
−36.7%
58,721127,420187,249
1984R
−44.1%
53,201137,719191,504
1980R
−32.4%
48,965105,260173,604
1976R
−24.5%
63,749105,921172,373
1972R
−37.6%
50,937113,469166,434
1968R
−22.4%
52,39885,512148,062
1964D
+14.5%
73,68455,024128,913
1960R
−27.4%
42,69875,039117,883
1956R
−59.2%
19,50376,57196,469
1952R
−45.2%
23,66262,84786,629
1948R
−37.9%
18,86442,55862,574
1944R
−29.8%
21,45439,73261,372
1940R
−23.2%
24,69839,72064,612
1936R
−12.7%
24,97832,36557,943
1932R
−21.4%
20,11731,48153,202
1928R
−37.1%
15,18833,18948,559
1924R
−47.0%
8,04224,81235,655
1920R
−46.4%
7,25620,68628,931
1916R
−11.0%
6,7988,53015,728
1912D
+16.4%
5,6283,32914,046
1908R
−27.3%
5,0269,08914,862
1904R
−24.3%
4,7688,20114,102
1900R
−13.7%
5,7937,73914,207
1896R
−23.3%
4,9368,19013,951
1892D
+0.9%
5,8375,72512,372
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.7%
Non-Christian
9.3%
Other Christian
6.4%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Methodist
1.7%
Baptist
0.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Morris County, a prosperous suburban enclave west of New York City, has shifted from reliably Republican to genuine battleground territory over the past decade, with its 2024 presidential margin landing at R+2.7 — the narrowest in recent memory.

The Democratic margin in Morris County has rarely exceeded sixteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-nine points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by three points.

Morris County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $137,326 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Seminole County and Maricopa County.