akashic
1876–2024
Orange County, New York
Orange County·New York

Orange County votes the way the country votes.

Hudson Valley county that has shifted steadily rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Orange County, New York · Mwanner · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
406,616
2024 ACS
Most similar
Warren County
NY · similarity 0.95
328 precincts · 175,660 votes cast
Trump · R+8
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−8.4%
80,25394,936175,660
2020R
−0.1%
84,95585,068172,539
2016R
−5.5%
68,27876,645152,021
2012D
+5.7%
73,31565,367140,628
2008D
+4.1%
78,32672,042151,982
2004R
−10.8%
63,39479,089144,673
2000R
−3.7%
58,17062,852126,557
1996D
+7.9%
54,99545,956114,538
1992R
−6.2%
45,94653,493122,520
1988R
−25.7%
38,46565,446104,810
1984R
−35.9%
32,66369,413102,413
1980R
−23.5%
30,02251,26890,470
1976R
−10.3%
40,36249,68590,673
1972R
−42.2%
25,77863,55689,515
1968R
−21.0%
28,12244,95580,149
1964D
+22.3%
48,24430,61078,924
1960R
−21.4%
31,47148,64680,182
1956R
−55.1%
16,72257,73974,461
1952R
−42.6%
20,58551,21771,949
1948R
−29.0%
20,63838,35161,031
1944R
−23.7%
24,05939,04163,262
1940R
−16.9%
27,63238,91366,690
1936R
−10.9%
27,52834,42863,276
1932R
−14.2%
22,97130,68754,423
1928R
−31.4%
19,04737,33458,240
1924R
−45.1%
9,76529,18443,083
1920R
−37.7%
10,56724,55837,135
1916R
−14.1%
10,19813,61924,295
1912R
−4.0%
9,40410,36424,026
1908R
−17.7%
9,93814,41425,276
1904R
−17.4%
9,88214,22224,983
1900R
−16.0%
10,18014,13724,749
1896R
−21.6%
8,97114,08623,667
1892R
−2.9%
10,42111,08122,754
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
9.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.0%
Non-Christian
9.1%
Other Christian
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Methodist
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a marginal swing county, Orange has moved consistently toward Republican presidential candidates since 2004, driven partly by an influx of transplants from New York City's suburbs and a large Orthodox Jewish community concentrated around Kiryas Joel.

The Democratic margin in Orange County has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Orange County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $97,178 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Essex County.