akashic
1876–2024
Essex County, Virginia
Essex County·Virginia

Essex County votes the way the country votes.

A small Rappahannock River county where margins have tightened over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Essex County, Virginia · Mojo Hand · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
10,623
2024 ACS
Most similar
Eaton County
MI · similarity 0.95
4 precincts · 6,074 votes cast
Trump · R+8
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−7.7%
2,7753,2456,074
2020R
−0.6%
3,0383,0756,178
2016R
−2.1%
2,5422,6575,372
2012D
+7.3%
3,0162,6025,675
2008D
+10.3%
2,9342,3795,364
2004R
−6.8%
2,0072,3044,344
2000R
−6.4%
1,7501,9953,831
1996D
+1.2%
1,6681,6273,533
1992R
−8.0%
1,5831,8973,904
1988R
−22.1%
1,2942,0383,365
1984R
−23.8%
1,3002,1203,440
1980R
−10.1%
1,2801,5812,987
1976R
−2.7%
1,3061,3802,730
1972R
−28.5%
8081,4822,368
1968D
+4.9%
8977912,164
1964R
−1.9%
7607891,550
1960R
−8.7%
5096061,117
1956R
−25.0%
3285971,076
1952R
−5.6%
5456101,163
1948D
+16.6%
329221651
1944D
+47.8%
508179689
1940D
+58.0%
547145693
1936D
+63.7%
527116645
1932D
+60.9%
420101524
1928D
+24.4%
321195516
1924D
+66.4%
31560384
1920D
+51.9%
319101420
1916D
+59.4%
30277379
1912D
+57.1%
27872361
1908D
+49.5%
364123487
1904R
−8.8%
430513944
1900D
+10.7%
7315901,322
1896D
+16.0%
9246691,597
1892R
−0.7%
8909031,848
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
29.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
18.6%
Other Christian
10.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Methodist
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Essex County's roughly 10,000 residents occupy a rural stretch of the Northern Neck region, where presidential margins have historically run double digits but compressed noticeably by the mid-2020s.

The Democratic margin in Essex County has rarely exceeded sixty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-eight points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Essex County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $56,520 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Eaton County and Porter County.