akashic
1876–2024
Lancaster County, Virginia
Lancaster County·Virginia

Lancaster County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A Northern Neck county where the Rappahannock meets the bay

18762024·38 elections
Lancaster County, Virginia · Ser Amantio di Nicolao at en.wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
10,936
2024 ACS
Most similar
Ada County
ID · similarity 0.98
6 precincts · 7,313 votes cast
Trump · R+7
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−7.0%
3,3553,8667,313
2020R
−4.6%
3,3683,6977,152
2016R
−9.8%
2,8693,5236,645
2012R
−8.7%
3,1493,7536,961
2008R
−5.9%
3,2353,6476,938
2004R
−20.0%
2,4773,7246,230
2000R
−27.0%
1,9373,4115,455
1996R
−17.7%
1,8442,7094,893
1992R
−18.6%
1,8122,8415,528
1988R
−36.3%
1,5513,3805,043
1984R
−36.8%
1,5593,4165,044
1980R
−26.6%
1,5672,7804,557
1976R
−19.6%
1,5812,3814,074
1972R
−42.5%
6581,6752,391
1968R
−13.9%
1,1341,6403,650
1964R
−8.2%
9041,0651,975
1960R
−19.8%
8951,3402,250
1956R
−51.6%
3731,3801,953
1952R
−23.8%
7531,2281,997
1948D
+8.6%
5604591,174
1944D
+26.0%
6663901,061
1940D
+38.0%
7113171,036
1936D
+36.2%
6893221,014
1932D
+39.6%
639272927
1928R
−24.6%
315520835
1924D
+71.0%
56490668
1920D
+48.7%
404138546
1916D
+77.2%
46158522
1912D
+68.0%
47982584
1908D
+57.7%
468122600
1904D
+57.1%
35093450
1900D
+31.2%
9715081,486
1896D
+28.0%
1,0735991,692
1892D
+4.6%
9838961,895
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
20.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
22.0%
Other Christian
11.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.1%
Methodist
9.0%
Mainline Protestant
8.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lancaster sits at the tip of Virginia's Northern Neck peninsula, where a largely rural, retirement-age population has shifted the county steadily rightward over the past two decades, landing at R+7 in 2024.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-seven points in 1916; the Republican margin reached fifty-two points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Lancaster County's demographics — a population of 10,936, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,713 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ada County and Fluvanna County.