akashic
1876–2024
Orange County, Virginia
Orange County·Virginia

Orange County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

A small Piedmont county where rural consistency defines the margins

18762024·38 elections
Orange County, Virginia · Idawriter · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+25
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
37,822
2024 ACS
Most similar
York County
PA · similarity 0.99
12 precincts · 22,353 votes cast
Trump · R+25
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−24.6%
8,27413,76422,353
2020R
−21.4%
7,99512,42620,742
2016R
−26.4%
5,95710,52117,267
2012R
−14.5%
6,8709,24416,354
2008R
−8.9%
7,1078,50615,801
2004R
−21.1%
5,0157,74912,928
2000R
−17.8%
4,1265,99110,483
1996R
−9.5%
3,5904,4358,908
1992R
−8.3%
3,3484,0928,966
1988R
−24.6%
2,5924,3197,015
1984R
−32.2%
2,2854,4836,821
1980R
−15.6%
2,4203,3816,158
1976R
−4.7%
2,3092,5495,161
1972R
−44.4%
8842,3323,258
1968R
−23.2%
8791,7273,661
1964R
−18.0%
9881,4232,418
1960R
−11.7%
1,1081,4132,603
1956R
−21.9%
7941,3442,510
1952R
−24.8%
9161,5252,453
1948D
+7.0%
8567261,852
1944D
+26.6%
1,1996941,896
1940D
+46.6%
1,2834641,759
1936D
+50.4%
1,2274021,636
1932D
+60.2%
1,2533091,567
1928D
+7.2%
8467321,578
1924D
+61.1%
8341811,068
1920D
+47.1%
718258977
1916D
+59.6%
608153764
1912D
+69.5%
61987765
1908D
+49.1%
587198793
1904D
+47.1%
568201779
1900D
+8.3%
1,1009292,048
1896D
+15.9%
1,3249572,305
1892D
+22.8%
1,3438312,248
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
8.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
17.2%
Baptist
16.5%
Methodist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Orange County sits in Virginia's Piedmont foothills, where a predominantly rural, small-town electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, resisting the suburban shifts reshaping counties closer to Northern Virginia.

The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Orange County, by a twenty-five points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-four points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Orange County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $94,008, and a 10% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York County and Steuben County.