| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 8,274 | 13,764 | 22,353 | |
| 2020 | R | 7,995 | 12,426 | 20,742 | |
| 2016 | R | 5,957 | 10,521 | 17,267 | |
| 2012 | R | 6,870 | 9,244 | 16,354 | |
| 2008 | R | 7,107 | 8,506 | 15,801 | |
| 2004 | R | 5,015 | 7,749 | 12,928 | |
| 2000 | R | 4,126 | 5,991 | 10,483 | |
| 1996 | R | 3,590 | 4,435 | 8,908 | |
| 1992 | R | 3,348 | 4,092 | 8,966 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,592 | 4,319 | 7,015 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,285 | 4,483 | 6,821 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,420 | 3,381 | 6,158 | |
| 1976 | R | 2,309 | 2,549 | 5,161 | |
| 1972 | R | 884 | 2,332 | 3,258 | |
| 1968 | R | 879 | 1,727 | 3,661 | |
| 1964 | R | 988 | 1,423 | 2,418 | |
| 1960 | R | 1,108 | 1,413 | 2,603 | |
| 1956 | R | 794 | 1,344 | 2,510 | |
| 1952 | R | 916 | 1,525 | 2,453 | |
| 1948 | D | 856 | 726 | 1,852 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,199 | 694 | 1,896 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,283 | 464 | 1,759 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,227 | 402 | 1,636 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,253 | 309 | 1,567 | |
| 1928 | D | 846 | 732 | 1,578 | |
| 1924 | D | 834 | 181 | 1,068 | |
| 1920 | D | 718 | 258 | 977 | |
| 1916 | D | 608 | 153 | 764 | |
| 1912 | D | 619 | 87 | 765 | |
| 1908 | D | 587 | 198 | 793 | |
| 1904 | D | 568 | 201 | 779 | |
| 1900 | D | 1,100 | 929 | 2,048 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,324 | 957 | 2,305 | |
| 1892 | D | 1,343 | 831 | 2,248 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Orange County sits in Virginia's Piedmont foothills, where a predominantly rural, small-town electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, resisting the suburban shifts reshaping counties closer to Northern Virginia.
The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Orange County, by a twenty-five points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-four points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points.
The political shift has tracked, in Orange County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $94,008, and a 10% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York County and Steuben County.
