akashic
1876–2024
Nottoway County, Virginia
Nottoway County·Virginia

Nottoway County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

A rural Southside county where presidential margins have widened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Nottoway County, Virginia · By Teddy23901 (Ted Hodges) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+22
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
15,597
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lunenburg County
VA · similarity 0.98
7 precincts · 6,869 votes cast
Trump · R+22
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−22.3%
2,6364,1686,869
2020R
−14.9%
2,9714,0277,078
2016R
−13.1%
2,8293,7126,744
2012R
−0.9%
3,3443,4096,846
2008R
−1.2%
3,4133,4996,988
2004R
−11.1%
2,6353,3036,030
2000R
−7.5%
2,4602,8705,492
1996R
−1.7%
2,3272,4165,214
1992R
−3.5%
2,4112,6105,743
1988R
−17.1%
2,2173,1615,509
1984R
−19.4%
2,2963,4185,793
1980R
−3.9%
2,5932,8135,611
1976D
+1.4%
2,5582,4865,222
1972R
−34.4%
1,2462,5873,893
1968R
−1.8%
1,5291,6144,830
1964R
−2.3%
1,5161,5863,103
1960D
+17.1%
1,8821,3193,286
1956D
+3.5%
1,2421,1243,329
1952R
−2.6%
1,3811,4542,850
1948D
+26.4%
1,0044861,963
1944D
+50.8%
1,4534721,930
1940D
+54.8%
1,2903731,674
1936D
+66.1%
1,2972601,568
1932D
+64.1%
1,3482771,671
1928D
+19.3%
9866671,653
1924D
+56.8%
8401811,161
1920D
+68.4%
821154975
1916D
+73.0%
60891708
1912D
+73.1%
68372836
1908D
+59.5%
481118610
1904D
+68.7%
47086559
1900D
+37.2%
1,0764891,579
1896D
+32.0%
9364781,432
1892D
+22.2%
9315871,551
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.5%
African American
29.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.5%
Baptist
9.3%
Methodist
8.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nottoway sits in Virginia's Southside tobacco belt, where a majority-minority population and a long Democratic heritage have gradually given way to Republican-leaning presidential results over the past two decades.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Nottoway County, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-four points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points.

The political shift has tracked, in Nottoway County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $63,261, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lunenburg County and Hendry County.