akashic
1876–2024
Duval County, Florida
Duval County·Florida

Duval County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Jacksonville's home county has tightened from R+20 to near-even in a decade

18762024·38 elections
Duval County, Florida · Excel23 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
1,023,153
2024 ACS
Most similar
Stafford County
VA · similarity 0.98
160 precincts · 471,121 votes cast
Trump · R+1
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−1.5%
229,249236,244471,121
2020D
+3.8%
252,556233,762492,820
2016R
−1.4%
205,704211,672432,695
2012R
−3.6%
196,737211,615411,848
2008R
−1.9%
202,618210,537415,761
2004R
−16.2%
158,610220,190381,061
2000R
−16.8%
108,039152,460265,181
1996R
−5.8%
112,328126,959254,123
1992R
−12.6%
92,098123,631249,926
1988R
−26.1%
74,894128,081203,979
1984R
−24.8%
77,488128,724206,249
1980R
−4.2%
90,46698,664195,554
1976D
+16.9%
105,91274,997182,561
1972R
−44.7%
46,530122,154169,204
1968D
+1.9%
54,83451,585166,978
1964R
−1.1%
79,36581,116160,481
1960D
+8.5%
70,09159,073129,164
1956R
−0.3%
53,12753,481106,608
1952D
+3.5%
53,94950,346104,295
1948D
+22.1%
28,56715,37959,695
1944D
+50.2%
36,86712,22049,087
1940D
+63.4%
41,0039,17750,180
1936D
+65.8%
25,9895,36831,357
1932D
+51.5%
19,0386,09625,134
1928R
−28.5%
9,31616,91926,689
1924D
+23.0%
5,9083,29111,376
1920D
+33.0%
13,6506,62821,257
1916D
+51.7%
5,4561,3397,957
1912D
+70.1%
3,5142434,669
1908D
+48.8%
2,3816413,562
1904D
+43.7%
2,0116713,063
1900D
+38.9%
1,8577732,788
1896D
+11.9%
1,9031,4623,694
1892D
+95.2%
1,44201,515
1888
No data
1884R
−28.4%
1,8903,3875,277
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.9%
African American
22.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
25.2%
Baptist
17.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.9%
Methodist
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Duval County, anchored by Jacksonville, has shifted steadily toward competitive status as a growing Black electorate and an influx of younger, college-educated residents have eroded margins that once made it a reliable anchor of Florida's Republican coalition.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-five points in 1892; the Republican margin reached forty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Duval County's demographics — a population of 1,023,153, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,277 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stafford County and Warren County.