akashic
1876–2024
Warren County, Mississippi
Warren County·Mississippi

Warren County votes the way the country votes.

A Mississippi River county where a 4-point margin signals unusual competitiveness

18762024·38 elections
Warren County, Mississippi · Michael Barera · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
43,020
2024 ACS
Most similar
Duval County
FL · similarity 0.98
23 precincts · 18,298 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−4.0%
8,6839,40718,298
2020D
+0.4%
10,44210,36521,053
2016R
−2.5%
9,2849,76719,416
2012D
+1.5%
10,78610,45721,391
2008R
−3.0%
10,48911,15221,764
2004R
−15.9%
8,22411,35619,683
2000R
−18.3%
7,48510,89218,623
1996R
−2.5%
8,7749,26119,385
1992R
−9.9%
8,17510,20920,578
1988R
−25.1%
7,43712,50720,170
1984R
−23.1%
8,05412,95921,248
1980R
−14.7%
7,48910,15118,128
1976R
−15.3%
6,2998,69915,705
1972R
−47.9%
3,48010,42014,478
1968D
+15.0%
4,5032,39214,112
1964R
−63.9%
1,6317,4099,040
1960D
+0.2%
2,2892,2776,587
1956R
−10.5%
1,8572,4195,328
1952R
−18.8%
2,3663,4585,824
1948D
+1.8%
3202454,170
1944D
+82.7%
3,2023043,506
1940D
+88.1%
3,0481923,241
1936D
+92.6%
3,2331223,361
1932D
+86.3%
2,4221692,611
1928D
+67.9%
2,7695303,299
1924D
+69.1%
1,7943282,122
1920D
+73.2%
1,0821611,258
1916D
+88.2%
1,204731,282
1912D
+80.7%
1,135551,339
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900D
+70.7%
804136945
1896D
+57.0%
8671831,201
1892D
+84.9%
63128710
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.2%
English
0.5%
African American
39.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
36.9%
Other Christian
13.3%
Methodist
9.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Vicksburg, Warren County sits along the Mississippi River and has shifted notably toward competitive margins compared with most of its Deep South neighbors, driven by a sizable Black voting-age population that regularly shapes close countywide results.

The Democratic margin in Warren County has rarely exceeded ninety-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-four points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Warren County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 47% non-Hispanic-white share, a 20% poverty rate, and a median household income of $59,401 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Duval County and Florence County.