akashic
1876–2024
Hernando County, Florida
Hernando County·Florida

Hernando County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

A Gulf Coast exurb where Republican margins have widened each cycle since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Hernando County, Florida · Daniel Wilton · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+37
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
207,018
2024 ACS
Most similar
St. Clair County
MI · similarity 0.98
32 precincts · 110,667 votes cast
Trump · R+37
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−37.1%
34,41875,435110,667
2020R
−30.2%
37,51970,412108,922
2016R
−29.0%
31,79558,97093,796
2012R
−8.5%
37,83044,93883,667
2008R
−3.6%
41,88645,02187,901
2004R
−6.8%
37,18742,63580,547
2000D
+3.1%
32,64830,65865,236
1996D
+11.2%
28,52422,04658,066
1992D
+2.6%
19,17417,90249,086
1988R
−15.6%
15,43721,19536,863
1984R
−27.1%
12,20421,27933,487
1980R
−14.8%
8,85812,11522,032
1976D
+14.0%
7,7175,79313,732
1972R
−49.8%
2,1106,2968,409
1968R
−8.9%
1,5242,0535,964
1964R
−0.4%
2,3202,3374,657
1960D
+4.0%
1,9601,8093,769
1956D
+5.1%
1,4351,2952,730
1952R
−7.3%
1,1041,2792,383
1948D
+23.0%
8254411,672
1944D
+48.7%
1,0023461,348
1940D
+50.3%
1,1513811,532
1936D
+56.2%
1,1153131,428
1932D
+61.9%
1,0972581,355
1928D
+2.9%
7016611,383
1924D
+60.1%
30059401
1920D
+59.9%
622132818
1916D
+72.9%
44638560
1912D
+66.3%
27218383
1908D
+59.9%
26057339
1904D
+79.6%
17212201
1900D
+81.8%
25218286
1896D
+69.8%
23137278
1892D
+73.2%
2270310
1888
No data
1884D
+58.8%
1,0402701,310
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
3.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.8%
Other Christian
8.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Baptist
1.9%
Methodist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hernando County's population has grown steadily through retiree in-migration from Tampa's northern sprawl, and that demographic shift has coincided with a 37-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the largest in the I-75 corridor.

The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in Hernando County, by a seven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.

The political shift has tracked, in Hernando County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,058, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Pasco County.