akashic
1876–2024
Manatee County, Florida
Manatee County·Florida

Manatee County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

Gulf Coast county that has shifted sharply rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Manatee County, Florida · Melissa Matisko · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+24
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
429,792
2024 ACS
Most similar
Madison County
TN · similarity 0.99
71 precincts · 228,778 votes cast
Trump · R+24
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−23.5%
86,624140,457228,778
2020R
−16.0%
90,166124,987216,958
2016R
−17.2%
71,224101,944178,958
2012R
−12.5%
66,50385,627153,491
2008R
−7.0%
70,03480,721151,994
2004R
−14.0%
61,26281,318143,621
2000R
−8.0%
49,22658,023110,344
1996R
−2.3%
41,89144,13696,878
1992R
−8.9%
33,84142,725100,220
1988R
−31.4%
26,62451,18778,113
1984R
−45.5%
20,88955,79376,688
1980R
−28.8%
21,67940,53565,576
1976R
−9.1%
24,34229,30054,360
1972R
−60.1%
8,05832,66440,940
1968R
−28.7%
8,28618,24734,747
1964R
−13.5%
13,07417,14730,221
1960R
−30.3%
8,81416,46225,276
1956R
−37.6%
5,39411,90417,298
1952R
−32.8%
4,5839,05513,638
1948R
−8.0%
2,7663,3717,610
1944D
+34.4%
4,5442,2186,762
1940D
+44.3%
5,1311,9837,114
1936D
+41.1%
3,4871,4554,942
1932D
+38.7%
2,8941,2804,174
1928R
−29.1%
1,4722,7054,235
1924D
+22.5%
1,0646291,933
1920D
+31.6%
1,7908842,867
1916D
+48.1%
1,0332891,548
1912D
+63.4%
712551,036
1908D
+60.6%
64493909
1904D
+58.6%
59291855
1900D
+69.0%
53560688
1896D
+54.3%
480135635
1892D
+83.3%
3480418
1888
No data
1884D
+51.2%
670216886
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
6.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.2%
Other Christian
9.7%
Baptist
3.8%
Methodist
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 68.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Manatee's R+23.5 margin in 2024 reflects a long migration of retirees and transplants from the Midwest and Northeast, gradually transforming what was once a more competitive coastal county into a reliably Republican stronghold.

The Republican margin in Manatee County reached its widest at sixty points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was twenty-four points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Manatee County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $78,457, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 429,792 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Brevard County.